Are Home Market Values on the Rise?

In August, prices rose in 17 of 20 cities. Only Charlotte, Cleveland and Las Vegas recorded month-to-month declines. In the past year, prices are down 11.3% in the 20 cities. Prices in all 20 cities were lower in August 2009 than in August 2008, but in general, year-over-year declines have lessened. “We do want to remind people of the upcoming expiration of the federal first-time buyer’s tax credit in November and anticipated higher unemployment rates through year-end,” said David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at S&P. “Both may have a dampening effect on home prices.”

Economists at Goldman Sachs said they expect a further 5% to 10% decline in prices. Falling values have been a major factor contributing to the chaos in the global economy, because financial institutions made too many bad bets that U.S. home prices would never fall. Millions of homeowners have found themselves owing more on their house than it is worth. They cannot sell for what they owe, and they cannot refinance their home loans. Nor can they borrow against their home to finance their consumption. Trillions of dollars of wealth have evaporated. Rising unemployment is now driving foreclosures. Another wave of foreclosures from interest-payment-only mortgages is anticipated, beginning in spring 2010.

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